- 현물, 선도, 옵션 시장 간의 동태적 관계에 대한 시스템 사고적 접근
- ㆍ 저자명
- 권오상,Kwon. Oh-Sang
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국 시스템 다이내믹스 연구
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2012년|13권 2호|pp.5-23 (19 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국시스템다이내믹스학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This paper studies dynamic relationship between cash market, forward market, and options market, from the perspective of systems thinking. It is shown that an exogenous shock to forward market can yield almost the same impact to the cash market, given a practically reasonable condition, but not vice versa. As far as options market is concerned, it matters what kind of options we deal with, who are long the option, and whether the option market maker performs dynamic hedging or not. In some cases, it is possible for the spot price to become unstable and diverge rather violently due to a strong negative feedback between the markets.