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서지반출
On A New Framework of Autoregressive Fuzzy Time Series Models
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  • On A New Framework of Autoregressive Fuzzy Time Series Models
  • On A New Framework of Autoregressive Fuzzy Time Series Models
저자명
Song. Qiang
간행물명
Industrial engineering & management systems : an international journal
권/호정보
2014년|13권 4호|pp.357-368 (12 pages)
발행정보
대한산업공학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

Since its birth in 1993, fuzzy time series have seen different classes of models designed and applied, such as fuzzy logic relation and rule-based models. These models have both advantages and disadvantages. The major drawbacks with these two classes of models are the difficulties encountered in identification and analysis of the model. Therefore, there is a strong need to explore new alternatives and this is the objective of this paper. By transforming a fuzzy number to a real number via integrating the inverse of the membership function, new autoregressive models can be developed to fit the observation values of a fuzzy time series. With the new models, the issues of model identification and parameter estimation can be addressed; and trends, seasonalities and multivariate fuzzy time series could also be modeled with ease. In addition, asymptotic behaviors of fuzzy time series can be inspected by means of characteristic equations.