- 환경부 토지이용정보를 이용한 수도권의 미래 기후변화에 따른 토양유실 예측 및 평가
- ㆍ 저자명
- 하림,조형경,김성준,Ha. Rim,Joh. Hyungkyung,Kim. Seongjoon
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국관개배수논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2014년|21권 1호|pp.89-98 (10 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국관개배수위원회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This study is to evaluate the future potential impact of climate change on soil erosion loss in a metropolitan area using Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation(RUSLE) with land use information of the Ministry of Environment and rainfall data for present and future years(30-year period). The spatial distribution map of vulnerable areas to soil erosion was prepared to provide the basis information for soil conservation and long-term land use planning. For the future climate change scenario, the MIROC3.2 HiRes A1B($CO_2720ppm$ level 2100) was downscaled for 2040-2069(2040s) and 2070-2099(2080s) using the stochastic weather generator(LARS-WG) with average rainfall data during past 30 years(1980-2010, baseline period). By applying the climate prediction to the RUSLE, the soil erosion loss was evaluated. From the results, the soil erosion loss showed a general tendency to increase with rainfall intensity. The soil loss increased up to 13.7%(55.7 ton/ha/yr) in the 2040s and 29.8%(63.6 ton/ha/yr) in the 2080s based on the baseline data(49.0 ton/ha/yr).