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SD법과 HFP법의 융합을 이용한 항만경쟁모델의 개발
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  • SD법과 HFP법의 융합을 이용한 항만경쟁모델의 개발
  • Development of Competitive Port Model Using the Hybrid Mechanism of System Dynamic Method and Hierarchical Fuzzy Process Method
저자명
여기태,이철영
간행물명
한국 시스템 다이내믹스 연구
권/호정보
2000년|1권 1호|pp.103-131 (29 pages)
발행정보
한국시스템다이내믹스학회
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

If a system such as a port has a large boundary and complexity, and the system′s substance is considered as a black box, forecast accuracy will be very low. Futhermore various components in a port exert significant influence on each other. To copy with these problem the form of structure models were introduced by using SD method. The Competitive Ports Model had several sub-systems consisting of each Unit Port models, and each Unit Port model was made by quantitative, qualitative factors and their feedback loops. The fact that all components of one port have influence on the components of the other ports should be taken into account to construct Competitive Port Models. However, with the current approach that is impossible, and in this paper therefore, models were simplified by HFP adapted to integrate level variables of unit port models. Although many studies on modelling of port competitive situation have been conducted, both theoretical frame and methodology are still very weak. In this study, a new algorithm called ESD(Extensional System Dynamics) for the evaluation of port competition was presented, and applied to simulate port systems in northeast asia.