- 분포시차모형의 Bayesian 의사결정법에 관한 연구
- A Study on the Distributed Lag Model by Bayesian Decision Making Method
- ㆍ 저자명
- 이필령
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 공업경영학회지
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 1985년|8권 11호|pp.27-34 (8 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국산업경영시스템학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
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- 기타
Recently the distributed lag models for time series data have been used in several quantitative analyses. But the analyses of time series which have the serial correlations in error terms and the lagged values of dependent variables violate the hypothesis of OLS method. This paper suggests that the approach technique of distributed lay model with serial correlation should be applied by the Bayesian inference to estimate the parameters. For the application of distributed lag model by Bayesian analysis, the data for monthly consumption expenditure per household by items of commodities from 1972 to 1981 are used in order to estimate the lagged coefficient of processed food and the regression coefficient of the food and beverage.