Recently a new regime, called "back school" is advocated for the purpose of rapidly and economically returning a patient to full functional fitness and normal occupational activities. Assuming that this functional and vocational restoration is a goal of a regabilitation program, it is apparent that early recovery and higher success rate are major concern. In this study, a mixture model is developed and used to evaluate the recovery process of low back pain (LBP) patients in a rehabilitation program. The model provides (1) the probability of being recovered, and (2) the rate of recovery. Patients with gradual onset, with higher education, or of young age tend to show better prognosis.