- 베이지안기법에 의한 임무 신뢰도 예측
- ㆍ 저자명
- 전치혁,양희중,정의승
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 韓國經營科學會誌
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 1993년|18권 1호|pp.71-78 (8 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국경영과학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
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A Baysian approach is proposed is estimating the mission failure rates by criticalities. A mission failure which occurs according to a Poisson process with unknown rate is assumed to be classified as one of the criticality levels with an unknown probability. We employ the Gamma prior for the mission failure rate and the Dirichlet prior for the criticality probabilities. Posterior distributions of the mission rates by criticalities and predictive distributions of the time to failure are derived.