- 온도를 고려한 지수평활에 의한 단기부하 예측
- ㆍ 저자명
- 고희석,이태기,김현덕,이충식
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 電氣學會論文誌
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 1994년|43권 5호|pp.730-738 (9 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 대한전기학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
The major advantage of the short-term load forecasting technique using general exponential smoothing is high accuracy and operational simplicity, but it makes large forecasting error when the load changes repidly. The paper has presented new technique to improve those shortcomings, and according to forecasted the technique proved to be valid for two years. The structure of load model is time function which consists of daily-and temperature-deviation component. The average of standard percentage erro in daily forecasting for two years was 2.02%, and this forecasting technique has improved standard erro by 0.46%. As relative coefficient for daily and seasonal forecasting is 0.95 or more, this technique proved to be valid.