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Simplification of Monte Carlo Techniques for the Estimation of Expected Benefits in Stochastic Analysis of Multiple Reservoir System
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  • Simplification of Monte Carlo Techniques for the Estimation of Expected Benefits in Stochastic Analysis of Multiple Reservoir System
  • Simplification of Monte Carlo Techniques for the Estimation of Expected Benefits in Stochastic Analysis of Multiple Reservoir System
저자명
Lee. Kwang-Man,Ko. Seok-Ku
간행물명
Korean journal of hydrosciences
권/호정보
1994년|5권 4호|pp.57-70 (14 pages)
발행정보
한국수자원학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

For the system benefit optimization by considering risk or reliability from a multiple reservoir system using the Monte Carlo Technique, Many stochastically generated inflow series have to be used for the system analysis. In this study, the stochastically generated inflow series for the multiple reservoir system operation are preprocessed according to the considering system objectives and operating time periods. Through this procedure, several representative inflow series which have discrate probability levels and operation horizons are selected among the thousands of generated inflows. Then a deterministic optimization technique is applied to the hydropower energy estimation from the Han River Reservoir System which considers five reservoirs in this study. It took much less computational requirements than using the original Morite Carlo Technique, even though estimated result was almost similar.