This paper proposes a dynamic recursive model with the effect analysis of machine state considering human factor(human skillfulness) In a single lot man-machine production system. This model obtained using Kalman Filtering Algorithm Is based on input state, output state, machine state. For sensitivity analysis, this model constructed is examined according to the impact of human skillfulness with computer simulation. The model studied in this paper has a great advance from the point of view a combination of three factors( human engineering, dynamic control theory, quality control ) and can also be extended in several applications.