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A Knowledge-Based Fuzzy Post-Adjustment Mechanism:An Application to Stock Market Timing Analysis
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  • A Knowledge-Based Fuzzy Post-Adjustment Mechanism:An Application to Stock Market Timing Analysis
  • A Knowledge-Based Fuzzy Post-Adjustment Mechanism:An Application to Stock Market Timing Analysis
저자명
Lee. Kun-Chang
간행물명
韓國經營科學會誌
권/호정보
1995년|20권 1호|pp.159-177 (19 pages)
발행정보
한국경영과학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

The objective of this paper is to propose a knowledge-based fuzzy post adjustment so that unstructured problems can be solved more realistically by expert systems. Major part of this mechanism forcuses on fuzzily assessing the influence of various external factors and accordingly improving the solutions of unstructured problem being concerned. For this purpose, three kinds of knowledge are used : user knowledge, expert knowledge, and machine knowledge. User knowledge is required for evaluating the external factors as well as operating the expert systems. Machine knowledge is automatically derived from historical instances of a target problem domain by using machine learning techniques, and used as a major knowledge source for inference. Expert knowledge is incorporate dinto fuzzy membership functions for external factors which seem to significantly affect the target problems. We applied this mechanism to a prototyoe expert system whose major objective is to provide expert guidance for stock market timing such as sell, buty, or wait. Experiments showed that our proposed mechanism can improve the solution quality of expert systems operating in turbulent decision-making environments.