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Analysis of Mean Transition Time and Its Uncertainty between the Stable Modes of Water Balance Model
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  • Analysis of Mean Transition Time and Its Uncertainty between the Stable Modes of Water Balance Model
  • Analysis of Mean Transition Time and Its Uncertainty between the Stable Modes of Water Balance Model
저자명
Lee. Jae-Soo
간행물명
Korean journal of hydrosciences
권/호정보
1995년|6권 4호|pp.39-49 (11 pages)
발행정보
한국수자원학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

The surface hydrology of large land areas is susceptible to several preferred stable states with transitions between stable states induced by stochastic fluctuation. This comes about due to the close couping of land surface and atmospheric interaction. An interesting and important issue is the duration of residence in each mode. Mean transition times between the stable modes are analyzed for different model parameters or climatic types. In an example situation of this differential equation exhibits a bimodal probability distribution of soil moisture states. Uncertainty analysis regarding the model parameters is performed using a Monte-Carlo simulation method. The method developed in this research may reveal some important characteristics of soil moisture or precipitation over a large area, in particular, those relating to abrupt change in soil moisture or preciptation having extremely variable duration.