- 지역별 교통사고 예측모형에 관한 연구
- ㆍ 저자명
- 박병호
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 地域硏究
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 1995년|11권 1호|pp.21-30 (10 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국지역학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This paper deals with the forecasting models for traffic accident by region. Its objectives are to develop the appropriate model for projecting the accident and to analyze the regional characteristics of the accident model. The main results are as follow. First, the literature review, statistical tests and sensitivity analyses show that the joint model combined both PTM and Exponential functions is appropriate to project the traffic accidents by region. Second, the statistical analyses by region. Second, the statistical analyses on the regional accident models indicate that the levels of significance in terms of t-value, $R^2$ and F-value are very high. Finally, the comparative analyses among regions show that the regional differences on the accident patterns can be explained by the joint models and the accident indices (parameters, $P_{max}$, 1/b, $eta$ etc.) of each region.