This paper introduces a simple yet accurate method to predict burst rate and durence expected in a meteor burst communication path in question by comparing its path specifications to those of an exiting path. In this article, the authors analyze the method to derive the burst rate and duration by comparing span distance, frequency, antenna gain, transmitting power and thre- shold level to those of a existing path selected for the reference. the authors further report the result of experiments made for two difference paths; 750 km path and 1,200 km path to Hamamatu Japan and Hatinohe Japan from Kyongsan korea respectively. The occuring rate and average length of the bursts measured on the experiment paths show fairly good agreement with the analysis.