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SENSITIVITY OF THE KEUM RIVER BASIN TO CLIMATE CHANGE
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  • SENSITIVITY OF THE KEUM RIVER BASIN TO CLIMATE CHANGE
  • SENSITIVITY OF THE KEUM RIVER BASIN TO CLIMATE CHANGE
저자명
Kim. Young-Oh,Seo. Yong-Won,Lee. Seung-Hyun,Lee. Dong-Ryul
간행물명
Water engineering research : international journal of KWRA
권/호정보
2000년|1권 4호|pp.267-277 (11 pages)
발행정보
한국수자원학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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기타
이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

This study reports an examination of the sensitivity of water resources in the Keum River basin to climate change. Assuming a doubling in $CO_2$ concentrations, a cooperative study provided four climate change scenarios for this study, which have been translated into temperature and precipitation scenarios on a basin scale. The study utilized these temperature and precipitation data for each climate change scenario as inputs to the NWS-PC model to generate the corresponding streamflow scenario over the Keum River basin. A reservoir simulation model for the Dae-Chung Dam in the Keum River basin has been developed with an object-oriented simulation environment, STELLA. For each streamflow scenario, the performance of the reservoir was assessed in terms of reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability. Although the simulation results are heavily dependent on the choice of the climate change scenarios, the following conclusions can be clearly concluded: (1) the future streamflow over the Dae-Chung Dam tends to decease during the dry period, which seriously increases competitive water use issues and (2) flood control issues predominate under the $2CO_2$-High case.