- Bibliometrics를 이용한 마이크로프로세서의 기술확산 예측
- ㆍ 저자명
- 손소영,안병주
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 品質經營學會誌
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2000년|28권 1호|pp.27-40 (14 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국품질경영학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Technological forecasting for microprocessor market can provide timely insight into the prospects for significant technological changes in computer hardware as well as software. In this paper, we use bibliometrics to forecast R&D trend on microprocessor technology. Cumulative numbers of US Patents on several generations of microprocessor technology (pipeline, superpipeline, supersclar and VLIW) approved since 1980 are applied to fit diffusion models. Our study results provide both the maximum market potential and the maturity time for each generation of microprocessor technology. Such information is expected to make contribution on making better decisions with regard to strategic corporate planning, R&D management, product development and investment in new technology of microprocessor.