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Neural Network Forecasting Using Data Mining Classifiers Based on Structural Change: Application to Stock Price Index
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  • Neural Network Forecasting Using Data Mining Classifiers Based on Structural Change: Application to Stock Price Index
  • Neural Network Forecasting Using Data Mining Classifiers Based on Structural Change: Application to Stock Price Index
저자명
Oh. Kyong-Joo,Han. Ingoo
간행물명
한국통계학회 논문집
권/호정보
2001년|8권 2호|pp.543-556 (14 pages)
발행정보
한국통계학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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기타
이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

This study suggests integrated neural network modes for he stock price index forecasting using change-point detection. The basic concept of this proposed model is to obtain significant intervals occurred by change points, identify them as change-point groups, and reflect them in stock price index forecasting. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in stock price index dataset. The second phase is to forecast change-point group with various data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast the stock price index with backpropagation neural networks. The proposed model is applied to the stock price index forecasting. This study then examines the predictability of integrated neural network models and compares the performance of data mining classifiers.