- 비선형 최소자승법을 이용한 성장곡선 모형의 매개변수 추정시 초기값 설정 방법에 관한 연구
- ㆍ 저자명
- 염세경,홍승표,강회일,김지수,전치혁,Youm. Se-Kyoung,Hong. Seung-Pyo,Kang. Hoe-Il,Kim. Ji-Soo,Jun. Chi-Hyuck
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 산업공학
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2001년|14권 2호|pp.190-197 (8 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 대한산업공학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Growth curves including Logistic and Gompertz functions are widely used in forecasting the market demand. To estimated the parameters of those functions, we use the non-linear least square method. However, it is difficult to set up the starting points for each parameter. If a wrong starting point is selected, the result reveals the local optimum or does not converge to a certain value. The purpose of this paper is to resolve the problem of selecting a starting point. Especially, rescaling the market data using the national economic index make it possible to figure out the range of parameters and to utilize the grid search method. Applications to some real data are also included.