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Using Evolutionary Optimization to Support Artificial Neural Networks for Time-Divided Forecasting: Application to Korea Stock Price Index
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  • Using Evolutionary Optimization to Support Artificial Neural Networks for Time-Divided Forecasting: Application to Korea Stock Price Index
  • Using Evolutionary Optimization to Support Artificial Neural Networks for Time-Divided Forecasting: Application to Korea Stock Price Index
저자명
Oh. Kyong Joo
간행물명
한국통계학회 논문집
권/호정보
2003년|10권 1호|pp.153-166 (14 pages)
발행정보
한국통계학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

This study presents the time-divided forecasting model to integrate evolutionary optimization algorithm and change point detection based on artificial neural networks (ANN) for the prediction of (Korea) stock price index. The genetic algorithm(GA) is introduced as an evolutionary optimization method in this study. The basic concept of the proposed model is to obtain intervals divided by change points, to identify them as optimal or near-optimal change point groups, and to use them in the forecasting of the stock price index. The proposed model consists of three phases. The first phase detects successive change points. The second phase detects the change-point groups with the GA. Finally, the third phase forecasts the output with ANN using the GA. This study examines the predictability of the proposed model for the prediction of stock price index.