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Incorporating Resource Dynamics to Determine Generation Adequacy Levels in Restructured Bulk Power Systems
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  • Incorporating Resource Dynamics to Determine Generation Adequacy Levels in Restructured Bulk Power Systems
  • Incorporating Resource Dynamics to Determine Generation Adequacy Levels in Restructured Bulk Power Systems
저자명
Felder. Frank A.
간행물명
KIEE international transactions on power engineering
권/호정보
2004년|2호|pp.100-105 (6 pages)
발행정보
대한전기학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

Installed capacity markets in the northeast of the United States ensure that adequate generation exists to satisfy regional loss of load probability (LOLP) criterion. LOLP studies are conducted to determine the amount of capacity that is needed, but they do not consider several factors that substantially affect the calculated distribution of available capacity. These studies do not account for the fact that generation availability increases during periods of high demand and therefore prices, common-cause failures that result in multiple generation units being unavailable at the same time, and the negative correlation between load and available capacity due to temperature and humidity. A categorization of incidents in an existing bulk power reliability database is proposed to analyze the existence and frequency of independent failures and those associated with resource dynamics. Findings are augmented with other empirical findings. Monte Carlo methods are proposed to model these resource dynamics. Using the IEEE Reliability Test System as a single-bus case study, the LOLP results change substantially when these factors are considered. Better data collection is necessary to support the more comprehensive modeling of resource adequacy that is proposed. In addition, a parallel processing method is used to offset the increase in computational times required to model these dynamics.