- 철도여객수요예측을 위한 Holt-Winters모형의 초기값 설정방법 비교
- ㆍ 저자명
- 최태성,김성호
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국철도학회 논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2004년|7권 1호|pp.9-13 (5 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국철도학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Railway passenger demand forecasts may be used directly, or as inputs to other optimization models use them to produce estimates of other activities. The optimization models require demand forecasts at the most detailed level. In this environment exponential smoothing forecasting methods such as Holt-Winters are appropriate because it is simple and inexpensive in terms of computation. There are several initialization methods for Holt-Winters Model. The purpose of this paper is to compare the initialization methods for Holt-Winters model.