- 농촌지역 실버타운의 수요예측을 위한 노인인구이동 모형의 개발
- ㆍ 저자명
- 정남수,이정재,김한중,윤성수,Jung. Nam-Su,Lee. Jeong-Jae,Kim. Han-Joong,Yoon. Seong-Su
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국농공학회논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2004년|46권 2호|pp.29-37 (9 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국농공학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
An areal elderly migration model (AEMM) was developed to assess the demand of rural development projects targeted towards elderly people. The AEMM was developed with adaptation of the gravity model to represent spatial interaction regarding amenities. Areal characteristics were classified for estimating the amenities from the perspective of net migration. From 1990 to 2000, data were acquired from USCB, PASDA, PAHEALTH, PADCNR, PFBC, and NCDC in 67 Pennsylvania counties for analysis and application. The results revealed that elderly migration can be explained not only by areal characteristics but also by spatial interaction considering the population, distances, and amenities of surrounding areas.