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서지반출
Testing of Stochastic Trends, Seasonal and Cyclical Components in Macroeconomil Time Series
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  • Testing of Stochastic Trends, Seasonal and Cyclical Components in Macroeconomil Time Series
  • Testing of Stochastic Trends, Seasonal and Cyclical Components in Macroeconomil Time Series
저자명
Gil-Alana. Luis A.
간행물명
한국통계학회 논문집
권/호정보
2005년|12권 1호|pp.101-115 (15 pages)
발행정보
한국통계학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

We propose in this article a procedure for testing unit and fractional orders of integration, with the roots simultaneously occurring in the trend, the seasonal and the cyclical component of the time series. The tests have standard null and local limit distributions. However, finite sample critical values are computed, and several Monte Carlo experiments conducted across the paper show that the rejection frequencies against unit (and fractional) orders of integration are relatively high in all cases. The tests are applied to the UK consumption and income series, the results showing the importance of the roots corresponding to the trend and the seasonal components and, though the unit roots are found to be fairly suitable models, we show that fractional processes (including one for the cyclical component) may also be plausible alternatives in some cases.