- 교차검증을 이용한 SVM 전력수요예측
- ㆍ 저자명
- 조남훈,Jo. Nam-Hoon
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 전기학회논문지. The transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers. A / A, 전력기술부문
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2006년|55권 11호|pp.485-491 (7 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 대한전기학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
In this paper, we study the problem of model selection for Support Vector Machine(SVM) predictor for short-term load forecasting. The model selection amounts to tuning SVM parameters, such as the cost coefficient C and kernel parameters and so on, in order to maximize the prediction performance of SVM. We propose that Cross-Validation method can be used as a model selection algorithm for SVM-based load forecasting technique. Through the various experiments on several data sets, we found that the difference between the prediction error of SVM using Cross-Validation and that of ideal SVM is less than 5%. This shows that SVM parameters for load forecasting can be efficiently tuned by using Cross-Validation.