- 풍력발전 예보시스템 KIER Forecaster의 개발
- ㆍ 저자명
- 김현구,이영섭,장문석,경남호,Kim. Hyun-Goo,Lee. Yung-Seop,Jang. Mun-Seok,Kyong. Nam-Ho
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 신재생에너지
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2006년|2권 2호|pp.37-43 (7 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국신재생에너지학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
In this paper, the first forecasting system of wind power generation, KIER Forecaster is presented. KIER Forecaster has been constructed based on statistical models and was trained with wind speed data observed at Gosan Weather Station nearby Walryong Site. Due to short period of measurements at Walryong Site for training the model, Gosan wind data were substituted and transplanted to Walryong Site by using Measure-Correlate-Predict(MCP) technique. The results of One to Three-hour advanced forecasting models are consistent with the measurement at Walryong site. In particular, the multiple regression model by classification of wind speed pattern, which has been developed in this work, shows the best performance comparing with neural network and auto-regressive models.