- 요인분석 및 CA-Markov기법을 이용한 미래의 도시화 진행 양상 예측기법 개발
- ㆍ 저자명
- 박근애,김성준,Park. Geun-Ae,Kim. Seong-Joon
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국농공학회논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2007년|49권 6호|pp.105-114 (10 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국농공학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This study is to predict the spatial expansion of urban areas by applying CA(Cellular Automata)-Markov technique considering MCE(multi-criteria evaluation) and MOLA(multi-objective land allocation) of factor analysis. For the 10 administration districts$(3677.3km^2)$ including the whole Anseong-cheon watershed, the past six temporal land use data(1973, 1981, 1985, 1990, 1994, 2000) from Landsat satellite images were prepared. During this period, the urban area increased $233.71km^2$. Using the 36 indices composed of topological characteristics, population and land use change, the final factor map of MOLA was produced through 5 maps of MCE. Using 1990 and 1994 land use data, the 2000 predicted urban area of CA-Markov with factor map showed 0.06% improvement of absolute error comparing with that of CA-Markov without factor map. By the CA-Markov technique considering factor map, the 2030 and 2060 urban area increased $58.94km^2(0.78%);and;60.14km^2(0.81%)$ respectively comparing with 2000 urban area$(313.19km^2)$. The 2030 and 2060 paddy area decreased $93.28km^2(2.54%);and;93.65km^2(2.55%)$ respectively comparing with 2000 paddy area$(1383.23km^2)$.