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Statistical Tests for the Lead-Lag Relationship between the Stock Price and the Business Indicator
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  • Statistical Tests for the Lead-Lag Relationship between the Stock Price and the Business Indicator
  • Statistical Tests for the Lead-Lag Relationship between the Stock Price and the Business Indicator
저자명
Kim. Tae-Ho,Lee. Sung-Duck,Cho. Joong-Jae
간행물명
한국데이터정보과학회지
권/호정보
2007년|18권 1호|pp.41-50 (10 pages)
발행정보
한국데이터정보과학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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기타
이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

This study attempts to test the lead-lag relationship between the stock price and the business indicator in the multivariate context. It additionally investigates the short and long-run dynamic relationships among the four market variables. The hypothesis that the stock price leads the business indicator is found to be rejected for the whole study period. When structural change is considered, the statistical result appears to reflect the reality. The causal relationships among the variables in the former period are simpler than those in the latter period, and the stock price significantly appears to lead the business indicator. On the other hand, the relationship between the stock price and the business indicator in the latter period appears to prove the recent hypothesis of their coincidence.