- ECHO-G/S에 나타난 기후변화에 따른 엘니뇨 변화 특성 분석
- ㆍ 저자명
- 이효신,권원태,안중배,부경온,차유미,Lee. Hyo-Shin,Kwon. Won-Tae,Ahn. Joong-Bae,Boo. Kyung-On,Ch. Yu-Mi
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 대기
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2007년|17권 4호|pp.365-379 (15 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국기상학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Global warming may shift the properties and dynamics of ENSO. We study the changes in ENSO characteristics in a coupled general circulation model, ECHO-G/S. First, we analyse the mean state changes by comparing present day simulation and various high $CO_2$ climates. The model shows a little El Nino-like changes in the sea surface temperature and wind stress in the eastern tropical Pacific. As the mean temperature rises, the ENSO amplitude and the frequency of strong El Ninos and La Nina decrease. The analysis shows that the weakening of the oceanic sensitivities is related to the weakening of ENSO. In addition to the surface changes, the remote subsurface sea temperature response in the western Pacific to the wind stress in the eastern Pacific influences the subsequent ENSO amplitude. However, ENSO amplitude does not show linear response to the greenhouse gas concentrations.