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Assessment of Future Climate Change Impact on DAM Inflow using SLURP Hydrologic Model and CA-Markov Technique
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  • Assessment of Future Climate Change Impact on DAM Inflow using SLURP Hydrologic Model and CA-Markov Technique
  • Assessment of Future Climate Change Impact on DAM Inflow using SLURP Hydrologic Model and CA-Markov Technique
저자명
Kim. Seong-Joon,Lim. Hyuk-Jin,Park. Geun-Ae,Park. Min-Ji,Kwon. Hyung-Joong
간행물명
大韓遠隔探査學會誌
권/호정보
2008년|24권 1호|pp.25-33 (9 pages)
발행정보
대한원격탐사학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

To investigate the hydrologic impacts of climate changes on dam inflow for Soyanggangdam watershed $(2694.4km^2)$ of northeastern South Korea, SLURP (Semi-distributed Land Use-based Runoff Process) model and the climate change results of CCCma CGCM2 based on SRES A2 and B2 were adopted. By the CA-Markov technique, future land use changes were estimated using the three land cover maps (1985, 1990, 2000) classified by Landsat TM satellite images. NDVI values for 2050 and 2100 land uses were estimated from the relationship of NDVI-Temperature linear regression derived from the observed data (1998-2002). Before the assessment, the SLURP model was calibrated and verified using 4 years (1998-2001) dam inflow data with the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies of 0.61 to 0.77. In case of A2 scenario, the dam inflows of 2050 and 2100 decreased 49.7 % and 25.0 % comparing with the dam inflow of 2000, and in case of B2 scenario, the dam inflows of 2050 and 2100 decreased 45.3 % and 53.0 %, respectively. The results showed that the impact of land use change covered 2.3 % to 4.9 % for the dam inflow change.