- 농촌 그린빌리지 계획을 위한 일별 풍력발전량의 적정확률분포형 추정
- ㆍ 저자명
- 김대식,구승모,남상운,Kim. Dae-Sik,Koo. Seung-Mo,Nam. Sang-Woon
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국농공학회논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2008년|50권 6호|pp.27-35 (9 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국농공학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This study aims to estimate the optimal probability distribution of daily electricity generation by wind power, in order to contribute in rural green-village planning. Wind power generation is now being recognized as one of the most popular sources for renewable resources over the country. Although it is also being adapted to rural area for may reasons, it is important to estimate the magnitudes of power outputs with reliable statistical methodologies while applying historical daily wind data, for correct feasibility analysis. In this study, one of the well-known statistical methodology is employed to define the appropriate statistical distributions for monthly power outputs for specific rural areas. The results imply that the assumption of normal distributions for many cases may lead to incorrect decision-making and therefore lead to the unreliable feasibility analysis. Subjective methodology for testing goodness of fit for normal distributions on all the cases in this study, provides possibilities to consider the other various types of statistical distributions for more precise feasibility analysis.