- 구조적 시계열 모형을 이용한 기온 자료에 대한 기후변화 추세 분석
- ㆍ 저자명
- 이정형,손건태,Lee. Jeong-Hyeong,Sohn. Keon-Tae
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 대기
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2008년|18권 3호|pp.199-206 (8 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국기상학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This study employs a structural time series method in order to model and estimate stochastic trend of surface temperatures of the globe, Northern Hemisphere, and Northeast Asia ($20^{circ}N{sim}60^{circ}N$, $100^{circ}E{sim}150^{circ}E$). For this study the reanalysis data CRUTEM3 (CRU/Hadley Centre gridded land-surface air temperature Version 3) is used. The results show that in these three regions range from $0.268^{circ}C$ to $0.336^{circ}C$ in 1997, whereas these vary from $0.423^{circ}C$ to $0.583^{circ}C$ in 2007. The annual mean temperature over Northeast Asia has increased by $0.031^{circ}C$ in 2007 compared to 1997. The climate change in surface temperatures over Northeast Asia is slightly higher than that over the Northern Hemisphere.