This paper includes that there is the way to make the prediction of the remaining life of the barrel in small arms using analyzing dispersion. There are some ways to know the period to change the barrel such as the method of detecting the inner surface directly or inspecting the scratch using the optical sensor. However, it is a more easy way to check the dispersion for soldiers and the directors in a logistics command. Therefore, this study is conducted to focusing on the relation between firing round and dispersion. And the simple equation experimentally derives from pre-tests and analyses. Also, this equation is confirmed through the firing tests during the period of developing K11. In that sense, it can be easily applied to know the period of changing the barrel of small arms in the field army.