- PERT 요소공정의 주경로 확률 산정 모델 개발
- ㆍ 저자명
- 윤득노,김태곤,한이철,이정재,Youn. Deuk-No,Kim. Tae-Gon,Han. Yi-Cheol,Lee. Jeong-Jae
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국농공학회논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2010년|52권 2호|pp.27-34 (8 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국농공학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
The PERT is one form of probabilistic network and can have many critical paths in the concept of each work has dispersed complete time. Here we propose two operators to estimate the probabilistic complete time about serial and parallel connections, and in each junction node, probability of critical path is estimated by new operator. Then we compare the estimated results with robability of critical path with deterministic CPM and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). Our results show that all paths in PERT can be critical path, and proposed operators are efficient and accurate probabilistic calculators compare MCS result.