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MULTIVARIATE MODELING OF PEDESTRIAN FATALITY RISK THROUGH ON THE SPOT ACCIDENT INVESTIGATION
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  • MULTIVARIATE MODELING OF PEDESTRIAN FATALITY RISK THROUGH ON THE SPOT ACCIDENT INVESTIGATION
  • MULTIVARIATE MODELING OF PEDESTRIAN FATALITY RISK THROUGH ON THE SPOT ACCIDENT INVESTIGATION
저자명
Badea. A.,Furones. A.,Paez. F.J.,Gonzalez. C.
간행물명
International journal of automotive technology
권/호정보
2010년|11권 5호|pp.711-720 (10 pages)
발행정보
한국자동차공학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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기타
이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

Pedestrians are the most vulnerable users of public roads and represent one of the largest groups of road casualties; their death rate around the world due to vehicle-pedestrian collisions is high and tending to rise. In Spain, as in other countries of the European Union, steps have been taken to reduce the number and consequences of such accidents, with encouraging results in recent years. A key to countering this concern is the accident research activity that has obtained remarkable achievements in different fields, especially when multidisciplinary approaches are taken. This paper describes the development of a multivariate model that is able to detect the most influential parameters on the consequences of vehiclepedestrian collision and to quantify their impact on pedestrian fatality risk. First, an accident database containing detailed information and parameters of vehicle-pedestrian collisions in Madrid has been developed. The accidents were investigated on the spot by INSIA accident investigation teams and analyzed using advanced reconstruction techniques. The model was then developed with two components: (1) a classification tree that characterizes and selects the explanatory variables, identifying their interactions, and (2) a binary logistic regression to quantify the influence of each variable and interaction resulting from the classification tree. The whole model represents an important tool for identifying, quantifying and predicting the potential impact of measures aimed at reducing injuries in vehicle-pedestrian collisions.