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Water Demand Forecasting by Characteristics of City Using Principal Component and Cluster Analyses
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  • Water Demand Forecasting by Characteristics of City Using Principal Component and Cluster Analyses
  • Water Demand Forecasting by Characteristics of City Using Principal Component and Cluster Analyses
저자명
Choi. Tae-Ho,Kwon. O-Eun,Koo. Ja-Yong
간행물명
Environmental engineering research
권/호정보
2010년|15권 3호|pp.135-140 (6 pages)
발행정보
대한환경공학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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기타
이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

With the various urban characteristics of each city, the existing water demand prediction, which uses average liter per capita day, cannot be used to achieve an accurate prediction as it fails to consider several variables. Thus, this study considered social and industrial factors of 164 local cities, in addition to population and other directly influential factors, and used main substance and cluster analyses to develop a more efficient water demand prediction model that considers unique localities of each city. After clustering, a multiple regression model was developed that proved that the $R^2$ value of the inclusive multiple regression model was 0.59; whereas, those of Clusters A and B were 0.62 and 0.74, respectively. Thus, the multiple regression model was considered more reasonable and valid than the inclusive multiple regression model. In summary, the water demand prediction model using principal component and cluster analyses as the standards to classify localities has a better modification coefficient than that of the inclusive multiple regression model, which does not consider localities.