- 주택매매가격 및 전세가격 변화에 따른 전세/매매가격비율 변동 분석
- ㆍ 저자명
- 박재현,이상효,김재준,Park. Jae-Hyun,Lee. Sang-Hyo,Kim. Jae-Jun
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국 디지털 건축·인테리어학회 논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2010년|10권 2호|pp.13-20 (8 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국디지털건축인테리어학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Uncertainty in housing price fluctuation has great impact on the overall economy due to importance of housing market as both place of residence and investment target. Therefore, estimating housing market condition is a highly important task in terms of setting national policy. Primary indicator of the housing market is a ratio between rent and transaction price of housing. The research explores dynamic relationships between Rent-Transaction price ratio, housing transaction price and jeonse rental price, using Vector Autoregressive Model, in order to demonstrate significance of shifting rent-transaction price that is subject to changes in housing transaction and housing rental market. The research applied housing transaction price index and housing rental price index as an indicator to measure transaction and rental price of housing. The price index and data for price ratio was derived from statistical data of the Kookmin Bank. The time-series data contains monthly data ranging between January 1999 and November 2009; the data was log transformed to convert to level variable. The analysis result suggests that the rising ratio between rent-transaction price of housing should be interpreted as a precursor for rise of housing transaction price, rather than judging as a mere indicator of a current trend.