- 동북아시아 환적물동량 예측모델 연구
- ㆍ 저자명
- 이병철,김윤배,Lee. Byoung-Chul,Kim. Yun-Bae
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 대한산업공학회지
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2011년|37권 4호|pp.297-303 (7 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 대한산업공학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Major ports in Northeastern Asia engage in fierce competition to attract transshipment traffic volume. Existing time series analyses for analyzing port competition relationships examine the types of competition and relations through the signs of coefficients in cointegration equations using the transshipment traffic volume results. However, there are cases for which analyzing competing relationships is not possible based on the results of the transshipment traffic volume data differences and limitations in the forecasting of traffic volume. Accordingly, we used the Lotka-Volterra (L-V) model,also known as the ecosystem competitive relation model, to analyze port competition relations for the long-term forecast of South Korean transshipment traffic volume.