- 강우빈도해석에서 Bootstrap을 이용한 확률분포의 매개변수 추정에 대한 불확실성 해석
- ㆍ 저자명
- 서영민,박기범,Seo. Young-Min,Park. Ki-Bum
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국환경과학회지
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2011년|20권 3호|pp.321-327 (7 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국환경과학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Bootstrap methods is the computer-based resampling method that estimates the standard errors and confidence intervals of summary statistics using the plug-in principle for assessing the accuracy or uncertainty of statistical estimates, and the BCa method among the Bootstrap methods is known much superior to other Bootstrap methods in respect of the standards of statistical validation. Therefore this study suggests the method of the representation and treatment of uncertainty in flood risk assessment and water resources planning from the construction and application of rainfall frequency analysis model considersing the uncertainty based on the nonparametric BCa method among the Bootstrap methods for the assessement of the estimation of probability rainfall and the effect of uncertainty considering the uncertainty of the parameter estimation of probability in the rainfall frequency analysis that is the most fundamental in flood risk assessement and water resources planning.