- 무의 중기 선행관측모형 개발
- ㆍ 저자명
- 조재환,이한성,Cho. Jae-Hwan,Lee. Han-Sung
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 농업과학연구
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2011년|38권 3호|pp.571-581 (11 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 충남대학교 농업과학연구소
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This study develops a mid-term preceding observation model of radish to complement an existing short-term agricultural observation model. The first purpose of the study is to extend a three seasonal classification(spring, summer, fall) of fruit-vegetables to a four seasonal classification that involves the winter additionally. This allows us to verify the reason for demand and supply unbalance and unstable price of radish. The second purpose is to construct a mid-term preceding observation model that would be used to forecast planted areas, output, monthly shipment and price. To achieve these purposes, several multiple regression models are estimated. A system is consisted of a planted areas equation, a yield equation, monthly shipment distribution equation, and monthly price equation. To calculate output an auxiliary equation is involved in the system and the consumer price index etc are considered as exogenous variables.