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서지반출
20세기 재분석 자료(20CR)를 이용한 남극대륙의 기온 변화
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  • 20세기 재분석 자료(20CR)를 이용한 남극대륙의 기온 변화
저자명
조일성,지준범,이규태,채남이,윤영준,Zo. Il-Sung,Jee. Joon-Bum,Lee. Kyu-Tae,Chae. Na-My,Yoon. Young-Jun
간행물명
Ocean and polar research
권/호정보
2012년|34권 1호|pp.73-83 (11 pages)
발행정보
한국해양연구원
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기타
이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

Antarctica is very sensitive to climate change but the number of stations is not sufficient to accurately analyze climate change in this regoin. Model reanalysis data supplements the lack of observation and can be used as long term data to verify climate change. In this study, the 20CR (Twentieth Century Reanalysis) Project data from NCEP/NCAR and monthly mean data (temperature, solar radiation and longwave radiation) from 1871 to 2008, was used to analyze the temperature trend and change in radiation. The 20CR data was used to validate the observation data from Antarctica since 1950 and the correlation coefficients between these data were determined to be over 0.95 at all stations. The temperature increased by approximately $0.23^{circ}C$/decade during the study period and over $0.20^{circ}C$/decade over all of the months. This increasing trend was observed throughout the Antarctica and a slight increase was observed in the Antarctic Peninsula. In addition, solar radiation (surface) and longwave radiation (surface and top of atmosphere) trends correlated with the increase in temperature. As a result, outgoing longwave radiation at the surface is attenuated by atmospheric water vapor or clouds and radiation at the top of the atmosphere was reduced. In addition, the absorbed energy in the atmosphere increases the temperature of the atmosphere and surface, and then the heated surface emits more longwave radiation. Eventually these processes are repeated in a positive feedback loop, which results in a continuous rise in temperature.