- 환경요인을 결합한 연령구조 재생산모델에 의한 자원량 및 가입량 예측
- ㆍ 저자명
- 이재봉,이동우,최일수,장창익,Lee. Jae Bong,Lee. Dong Woo,Choi. Ilsu,Zhang. Chang Ik
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국어업기술학회지
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2012년|48권 4호|pp.445-451 (7 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국어업기술학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
We developed an age-based spawner-recruit model incorporating environmental variables to forecast stock biomass and recruits of pelagic fish in this study. We applied the model to the Tsushima stock of jack mackerel, which is shared by Korea and Japan. The stock biomass of jack mackerel (Trachurus japonicus) around Korean waters ranged from 141 thousand metric tons (mt) and 728 thousand mt and recruits ranged from 27 thousand mt to 283 thousand mt. We hind-casted the stock biomass to evaluate the model performance and robustness for the period of 1987~2009. It was found that the model has been useful to forecast stock biomass and recruits for the period of the lifespan of fish species. The model is also capable of forecasting the long-term period, assuming a certain climatic regime.