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Analysis of Different Techniques to Set Support Vector Regression to Forecast Insolation in Tsukuba, Japan
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  • Analysis of Different Techniques to Set Support Vector Regression to Forecast Insolation in Tsukuba, Japan
  • Analysis of Different Techniques to Set Support Vector Regression to Forecast Insolation in Tsukuba, Japan
저자명
Joao Gari da Silva. Fonseca Jr.,Oozeki. Takashi,Ohtake. Hideaki,Shimose. Ken-ichi,Takashima. Takumi,Ogimoto. Kazuhiko
간행물명
Journal of international council on electrical engineering
권/호정보
2013년|3권 2호|pp.121-128 (8 pages)
발행정보
대한전기학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
서지반출

기타언어초록

The objective of this study is to analyze 3 approaches to objectively set the configuration parameters of a support vector regression algorithm to forecast insolation. The approaches were based on techniques such as multifold cross-validation, grid search, and frequency analysis. The ${ u}$ support vector regression with a Gauss function as kernel function was used to forecast insolation. The configuration parameters set were the cost parameter, the gamma parameter in the kernel function, and the ${ u}$ parameter. The analysis was done using weather related data of Tsukuba city in Japan, from January to December of 2009. The results show that variations of the forecast errors caused by using the different approaches were small, 4.5% in the worst case. Moreover, any of the proposed approaches yielded forecasts of insolation with annual root mean square errors lower than $0.12kWh/m^2$ and mean absolute errors lower than $0.07kWh/m^2$, what shows their applicability.