- MCP방법을 이용한 장기간 풍속 및 풍력에너지 변동 특성 분석
- ㆍ 저자명
- 현승건,장문석,고석환,Hyun. Seung-Gun,Jang. Moon-Seok,Ko. Suk-Hwan
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2013년|33권 5호|pp.1-8 (8 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국태양에너지학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
Wind resource data of short-term period has to be corrected a long-term period by using MCP method that Is a statistical method to predict the long-term wind resource at target site data with a reference site data. Because the field measurement for wind assessment is limited to a short period by various constraints. In this study, 2 different MCP methods such as Linear regression and Matrix method were chosen to compare the predictive accuracy between the methods. Finally long-term wind speed, wind power density and capacity factor at the target site for 20 years were estimated for the variability of wind and wind energy. As a result, for 20 years annual average wind speed, Yellow sea off shore wind farm was estimated to have 4.29% for coefficient of variation, CV, and -9.57%~9.53% for range of variation, RV. It was predicted that the annual wind speed at Yellow sea offshore wind farm varied within ${pm}10%$.