- 발전량, 가격, 장기금리 변동성을 기초로 한 풍력발전사업의 실물옵션 가치평가
- ㆍ 저자명
- 김영경,장병만,Kim. Youngkyung,Chang. Byungman
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 신재생에너지
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2014년|10권 1호|pp.41-49 (9 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국신재생에너지학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
For a proper valuation of wind power project, it is necessary to consider volatilities of key parameters such as annual energy production, electricity sales price, and long term interest rate. Real option methodology allows to calculate option values of these parameters. Volatilities to be considered in wind project valuation are 1) annual energy production (AEP) estimation due to meteorological variation and estimation errors in wind speed distribution, 2) changes in system marginal price (SMP), and 3) interest rate fluctuation of project financing which provides refinancing option to be exercised during a loan tenor for commercial scale projects. Real option valuation turns out to be more than half of the sales value based on a case study for a FIT scheme wind project that was sold to a financial investor.