- 실물옵션을 이용한 SNG 사업투자의 경제성 평가 연구
- ㆍ 저자명
- 강승진,홍진표,Kang. Seung Jin,Hong. Jin Pyo
- ㆍ 간행물명
- 한국수소 및 신에너지학회 논문집
- ㆍ 권/호정보
- 2014년|25권 3호|pp.319-335 (17 pages)
- ㆍ 발행정보
- 한국수소및신에너지학회
- ㆍ 파일정보
- 정기간행물| PDF텍스트
- ㆍ 주제분야
- 기타
This study attempts to suggest an economic analysis model for SNG projects, which can reflect the future uncertainty objectively and applies the real option valuation incorporating the flexible investment decision. Based on this analysis model, net present value and internal rate of return were estimated by using preliminary feasibility study report of SNG project. And economic evaluation of SNG project was performed with real option valuation using binomial option model. Through this, the difference of analysis results between the real option valuation model and the discounted cash flow model were compared and the usefulness of the real option valuation model was confirmed. From the actual proof analysis, it is confirmed that the real option valuation model showed higher SNG project value than the discounted cash flow model did. It was confirmed that by applying the real option valuation model, economic analysis can be performed on not only the current straightforward SNG project, but also various future portfolios having options such as expansion, modification, or decommission.