The purpose of this study is to notice that there are a large number of predictive records(豫兆記事) in the nineteenth and twentieth year of King Uija\'s reign in Samguksagi(三國史記) and to support the idea that these records help us to understand a narrative related to the fall of Baekje(百濟). The concentrated records are not unexpected accidents but reflections of the writers\' historical views based on actual facts. In that they show the handing down of a predictive tale related to special situations, the author approached the records not only predictive phenomenon of historical facts but also as predictive tales of narratives. The author also suggested various points of view to help us understand another meaning of the records. The brief conclusion is as follows.
In the light of historical books with legitimacy(正史書), Samguksagi(三國史記) was written in the middle of the Goryeo(高麗) when the point of view that disasters are determined in Heaven becomes intensified by Confucianism after the Three Kingdom Period. These thoughts must have had an influence upon Samguksa(三國史). Gim Bu-sik(金富軾), who had more profound Confucian ideas, reflects his thought clearly in Samguksagi. This is why Samguksagi has many predictive phenomenon. Gim Bu-sik described and evaluated the history of the three Kingdoms with a Silla(新羅)-centered historical view. Therefore, he seems to think lightly of Baekje(百濟) and its effects upon his critical attitude to describe the predictive tale of Baekje\'s fall. A considerable amount of material on the predictive tale of Baekje\'s fall was collected before Samguksagi. When it comes to Samguksagi, a large number of material must be mobilized besides Samguksa.
We can find an optional description in Uijawang Bongi(義慈王 本紀). Samguksagi, based on Confucian ideas, shows a strict historical view following the Thought of Providence(天命思想). It can be said that the critical attitude towards King Uija(義慈) resulted from a critical description of history.
Judging from the order of the record, the predictive historical facts developed from plain ones to special and serious ones. And that, their suggestive meanings become concrete. This tells us that those phenomenon came naturally from the contemporary political situations. This predictive material has historical and political importance in that it has much to do with changing reality.
The predictive material has a narrative characteristic as a predictive tale as well as their own significance. As it is the end of King Uija\'s reign, the predictive tales become rich and profound. Especially social and strange accidents have a strong tendency to be handed down orally. Those examples are mainly placed in the latter part and it demonstrates that predictive tales prevailed at that time. As we can find from the tale of ‘red stallion in Ohoe-temple(烏會寺)’ or ‘Wangheun-temple(王興寺) and mast’, the predictive tales had various characteristics, handed down orally, and functioned like rumors in specific time.