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PREDICTION OF THE DETECTION LIMIT IN A NEW COUNTING EXPERIMENT
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  • PREDICTION OF THE DETECTION LIMIT IN A NEW COUNTING EXPERIMENT
  • PREDICTION OF THE DETECTION LIMIT IN A NEW COUNTING EXPERIMENT
저자명
Seon. Kwang-Il
간행물명
Journal of the Korean astronomical society
권/호정보
2008년|41권 4호|pp.99-107 (9 pages)
발행정보
한국천문학회
파일정보
정기간행물|ENG|
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이 논문은 한국과학기술정보연구원과 논문 연계를 통해 무료로 제공되는 원문입니다.
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기타언어초록

When a new counting experiment is proposed, it is crucial to predict whether the desired source signal will be detected, or how much observation time is required in order to detect the signal at a certain significance level. The concept of the a priori prediction of the detection limit in a newly proposed experiment should be distinguished from the a posteriori claim or decision whether a source signal was detected in an experiment already performed, and the calculation of statistical significance of a measured source signal. We formulate precise definitions of these concepts based on the statistical theory of hypothesis testing, and derive an approximate formula to estimate quickly the a priori detection limit of expected Poissonian source signals. A more accurate algorithm for calculating the detection limits in a counting experiment is also proposed. The formula and the proposed algorithm may be used for the estimation of required integration or observation time in proposals of new experiments. Applications include the calculation of integration time required for the detection of faint emission lines in a newly proposed spectroscopic observation, and the detection of faint sources in a new imaging observation. We apply the results to the calculation of observation time required to claim the detection of the surface thermal emission from neutron stars with two virtual instruments.