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Use of a Machine Learning Algorithm to Predict Individuals with Suicide Ideation in the General Population
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  • Use of a Machine Learning Algorithm to Predict Individuals with Suicide Ideation in the General Population
저자명
Seunghyong Ryu, Hyeongrae Lee, Dong-Kyun Lee, Kyeongwoo Park
간행물명
Psychiatry InvestigationKCI,SCIE,SSCI,SCOPUS
권/호정보
2018년|15권 11호|pp.1030-1036 (7 pages)
발행정보
대한신경정신의학회|한국
파일정보
정기간행물|KOR|
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국문초록

Objective In this study, we aimed to develop a model predicting individuals with suicide ideation within a general population using a machine learning algorithm. Methods Among 35,116 individuals aged over 19 years from the Korea National Health & Nutrition Examination Survey, we selected 11,628 individuals via random down-sampling. This included 5,814 suicide ideators and the same number of non-suicide ideators. We randomly assigned the subjects to a training set (n=10,466) and a test set (n=1,162). In the training set, a random forest model was trained with 15 features selected with recursive feature elimination via 10-fold cross validation. Subsequently, the fitted model was used to predict suicide ideators in the test set and among the total of 35,116 subjects. All analyses were conducted in R. Results The prediction model achieved a good performance [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)=0.85] in the test set and predicted suicide ideators among the total samples with an accuracy of 0.821, sensitivity of 0.836, and specificity of 0.807. Conclusion This study shows the possibility that a machine learning approach can enable screening for suicide risk in the general population. Further work is warranted to increase the accuracy of prediction.

목차

INTRODUCTION
METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION

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